I’m also in favor of the reduction, though making the stablecoin pools equivalent to the others does seem pretty severe. Ultimately, I think an ideal solution would involve adjusting the POOL distribution for each pool based on its average size.
However, I agree about the incentives being broken right now, and agree that letting whales accumulate POOL just to sell it isn’t ideal. As long as communication is clear around continual improvement, and this being one short-term fix, I think I’m in support of this.
If we drop the rates on stablecoin pools so drastically, isn’t it possible that a ton of liquidity bleeds out of the pools making them less attractive overall? Less liquidity = lower interest prizes = less hype/marketability.
Also, with less POOL being distributed, isn’t that harmful to governance? Governance will more likely be decided by existing POOL whales today. Lower POOL supply potentially means higher POOL token prices, too.
I think a more reasonable way to gauge how the market reacts would be to make stablecoin POOL distribution around half, or 4x UNI/COMP pools: 1020.4 POOL/day. If it’s still problematic, then we have wiggle room to go up or down depending on the reaction.
I will personally be voting against, as I don’t think having the emissions for DAI/USDC match UNI/COMP makes sense. This is due to the difference in interest rates on the assets. I find the comparisons made by @ageless in this thread very compelling to explain the difference in the pool size of USDC vs UNI.
Hello, my name is Uncle. I am a PT v1 OG and accidental POOL manatee (not quite a whale, but like, comparatively larger than a minnow). I am currently farming POOL in size, and I have not sold a single token or any of my airdrop. I will be voting against this for multiple reasons…
PT promoted 14 weeks of POOL distribution at current issuance. 5% of total POOL supply allocated to an initial 14 week depositor distribution. This should be defended by the community to uphold PTs honor. A lot of players, big and small, made financial decisions (and gas decisions!) based on this fact. Across all Ethereum, I am firmly against deviating from what protocols have laid out to be the expectation for users.
Many of @Leighton’s arguments are valid, however, take this from the perspective that POOL was launched at a local market top and it’s first week was during a 33% market pullback. There were tons of liquidations, and people were selling everything they could in order to manage their leverage, including POOL… we just don’t have enough data to support a decision in either direction.
Price depreciation of POOL due to selling forces by yield farmers is a fantastic distribution mechanism. For smaller players, if they believe in POOL they will have much better prices over the next three months to build a meaningful position than if they farm POOL themselves. Look at UNIs launch and short-live incentive program for a comparison
Other yield opportunities will compete for POOL farming. If you’ve been following Alchemix’s new launch, they soaked up and hit a 200M DAI cap, which will be lifted in the coming days. The yields are/will be much higher than POOL at current prices for similar risk exposure, so we should anticipate rational short term farmers to move funds in a few days™. I, as a long term POOL farmer (which is what we should want), will not be pulling my position, because I anticipate the future valuation to significantly outpace any short term gains I could get. After the first 14 weeks, we can and should adjust POOL issuance to sustain long-term growth.
It does NOT appear that deposits directly follow POOL distribution. The UNI Pool has $18 million deposited and is ~50% as large as the Dai pool, even though it receives only ~10% of the amount of POOL has the Dai pool.
This is easily explained, as noted by @Torgin and others above, by the difference in the opportunity cost for these token holders. The UNI prize pool has a higher net expected return than other ways to use UNI capital, whereas there are many options for high yield using DAI / USDC.
Aside from the “bait and switch” element, noted by @Uncle above, I have the following objections to this proposal:
Directly awarding POOL for staking POOL is artificial (or “ponzi” as @Torgin calls it), and also legally questionable in the US from a securities law perspective. An anti-dumping mechanism should retain the lottery-game concept, by addiing utility in a way that doesn’t look like some sort of dividend.
It doesn’t incentivise governance or have any benefit in terms of wider distribution of $POOL. The idea is solely aimed at supporting the price.
The exchange of $POOL on secondary markets should lead to wider distribution, so the whale selling is also serving a function in the short term, as @Uncle also argues.
Bottom line: There are better alternatives available to incentivise holding $POOL.
(Personally, I like the idea we discussed in Discord yesterday: Discord)
I do push back hard on the idea that governance as a specific obligation to not change parameters. The launch blog post specifically stated that the distribution can be modified by governance and that indeed is the very purpose of governance. To modify parameters towards the goal of building a decentralized no loss prize savings protocol storing billions of dollars with millions in weekly prizes.
@ChrisSavadge Specifically on your points, I don’t understand where you are getting the idea this has anything to do with price. The goal of my proposal as stated is to “1) even incentives across all prize pools and 2) opens the door for us to add new governance prize pools and add POOL distribution to them at the same rate and 3) sets the distribution at a sustainable rate that could be kept going for years.”
This isn’t about price at all, it’s about updating the POOL distribution so that it can get into more diverse people’s hands for a longer period of time and not just a couple whales for a few weeks.
Giving more POOL to POOL holders…How else could one interpret this except as a kind of staking reward disconnected from the rest of the no-loss lottery concept? It would disincentivise selling by providing an alternative, thereby naturally supporting the price to some extent. As a POOL holder, I’m obviously not opposed to that per se, but simply don’t see this as the best way.
So on point 3, you are correct that the intention is to give more POOL to people who are long term aligned with the protocol (signaled by their desire to hold POOL). This is very standard for all DeFi protocols (SNX, BOND, COMP, Aave, etc). I can understand how you might think that could have a secondary impact on price but that’s not the reason for doing it and I’m highly doubtful markets are that rationale.
Just to re-set a bit as I don’t think a framed the original proposal well…
Absent of any action, POOL distribution will completely stop 12 weeks from today. I do NOT want this to happen. I LOVE the idea that people who use the protocol freely receive ownership and I think it should be extended.
Right now the top 5 addresses in the Dai pool are receiving 50% of all POOL per day (~$30k a day). In the USDC pool the top 5 address currently are receiving 39% of all POOL (~$18k a day). On top of this, they also have a very high chance of winning the prizes. So they are receiving way more value than they are creating and also have a high probability of winning the prizes. To me, this seems sub-optimal.
I think a first step towards optimizing this is slowing down the POOL distribution so that 1) POOL distribution lasts a lot longer and 2) we can try to find other ways to more effectively get POOL into the hands of people long term aligned. (Some ideas here would be 1) starting a referral reward program 2) awarding people for sponsoring prize pools 3) implementing some sort of vesting, 4) grants program, 5) new prize pools with POOL distribution, etc.)
So that has been my thinking. I do think many people have brought up good points on why this might not be the best way to address the problem and specifically why matching the COMP and UNI rates does not make sense. I’m very open to new proposals that perhaps more moderately reduce the distribution while trying to also maintain growth in AUM.
Given the chart @Leighton posted about the distribution rates of other protocols, targeting around 2200 total POOL distribution per day (including everything) sounds sensible. This would be 8% annually and put us right between balancer and curve.
So I propose we target 1700 POOL/day for yield farming, split the same way as it currently is:
DAI: 765 POOL/day (45%)
USDC: 765 POOL/day (45%)
UNI: 85 POOL/day(5%)
COMP: 85 POOL/day (5%)
This leaves a budget of 500 POOL/day to be used for alternative distributions, for example the POOL pool or @gabor’s governance airdrop idea.
I am for a POOL pool, either as a PT reward or for farming (or both!). The Badger community airdropped their token and gave people something to do with it (staking for more of the same token). While seemingly recursive, I think it was successful in getting buy-in and engagement from early holders.
I would like to gamify the POOL token in the future, giving it more power in the ecosystem, but development bandwidth, etc. Until then, a POOL pool would be a good place for people to park the tokens
Would it make the most sense to drop these all at once?
-Start the 10% fee from pools to the treasury reserve
-Create the POOL pool ( I also think the POOL pool should get the same allocation as the USD pools)
-Reduce rewards
The drastic cut in rewards is not so bad if the price of POOL rises. My main concern is what if the price does not rise as a result and the whales just exit the pools. Maybe if we set a few things in place at once it will help make sure we don’t lose our growth. The growth of the USD pools has stalled a bit as of late.
With the UNI incentivised there were the same arguments. Many people were concerned that the whales will leave e.g. the WBTC/ETH LPs after expiry of UNI rewards. What happened? They left. But still, the LPs were significantly larger than before the start of the UNI rewards. I would assume that the same will happen here. We started with super tiny prize pools and were celebrating $10m AuM like crazy. I wouldnt expect that AuM drops below $50m necessarily only because POOL rewards are substantially reduced.
I like this line of thinking! A few responses though:
I don’t agree though on cutting the UNI and COMP, to me those prize pools have been quite successful in that they are bringing a lot of users and AUM to the protocol but we are dispensing a small amount of POOL.
765 seems good to me as a longer term target for Dai and USDC
Overall, I think we are going to want to create more prize pools and continue to distribute POOL to them. I know teams are working on mUSD, xSushi, and Aave yield source integrations and I assume at least some of those prize pools we’ll want to include in POOL distribution. In light of this, I think using 255 as a starting point for non-stable coins and 765 as a starting point for stablecoin ones make sense. We can then have a community standard for all new prize pools and adjust as needed.
I think what’s important to see with UNI distribution is that Pooltogether will still be by far the best yield offered on UNI anywhere. Currently we are the best yield for UNI by so much that we are overpaying.
Here’s what I mean (assuming 255 POOL/day):
UNI yield on Compound: 1.65%
UNI yield on Pooltogether: 1.65% (in expectation) + 9% (guaranteed POOL)
Pooltogether yield is 6.5x better. If we cut the UNI pool’s issuance to 85, this would be 2.2x.
Still very attractive.
Comparison: USDC (assuming 765 POOL/day)
USDC yield on Compound: 8.66%
USDC yield on Pooltogether: 8.66% (in expectation) + 10.33% (guaranteed POOL)
Pooltogether yield is 2.2x better.
I don’t think reducing the POOL issuance of the UNI pool will have a large impact on the pool’s size. In both cases, Pooltogether is by far the best place to park your UNI. There are no better alternatives.
The initial POOL distributions should be honoured – changing now could have significant unintended consequences and reduce confidence in protocol.
The distributions should be governed by math. Until a distribution equation is agreed, there is no point experimenting with random numbers and hoping for the best. Better to leave as is.
Everyone seems anit-whales yet whales generate most of the prize pool. It would be great to see more discussion and thought on how to optimise the distribution of prize pools such that both whales and new fish are incentivised to participate. (Nothing here addresses those points and having multiple winners per prize isn’t the silver bullet many hoped for.)