Great post with a feasible action plan.
If we did pursue a study phase, I’d just be wary of committing too little value to it, as if we don’t push the GP high enough, the results would probably be inconclusive. In that sense I agree that targeting one network for this particular point is ideal, and I agree with your reasoning for picking Base.
I’m hesitant to apply a concrete veil of rationality to crypto users (lol), but I do think this line of reasoning has value. I could provide some stats to this though, through some of Cabana’s deposits. We only have a bit of recent data, but the last ~1000 deposits on Cabana have had a median size of ~$90. Given that our average GP is ~$3400 and our highest is ~$6700, this would provide a ratio of 38x or 74x respectively.
The numbers above are definitely not a result of a clean experiment though - perhaps our current GPs aren’t large enough to create any impact and this is just the underlying attractiveness of the protocol, or based on your second hypothesis OP token rewards on Optimism could have driven up the median somewhat.
I have a question though. If we do manage to acquire ARB tokens to incentivize the Arbitrum prize pool, as @Brendan mentioned - would this demand a change of strategy for performing these experiments? Or is there some value in, for example, boosting the GP on Base and Arbitrum, but also providing some POOL drip on one of these networks? Or maybe it makes more sense to divert the POOL drip to Ethereum instead?